Category Archives: Economics & Finance

Air conditioning is peaking out, time to rethink cool comfort

As the recent Energy White Paper and Senate Committee report confirm, Australia’s electricity prices are going up. The Productivity Commission states that they have risen by 50% in real terms over the last five years, mainly due to the rising cost of poles and wires. In fact, around one quarter of retail electricity bills go [...]
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Who will hold the balance of power on electricity?

The Senate Select Committee on Electricity Pricing tabled its report in Parliament on November 1. The inquiry found substantial evidence of failures in the rules and operation of the electricity market, even though the electricity sector says it is taking adequate action to deal with a range of issues. The report commented (para 3.101) that [...]
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One for Mum but not for Dad and definitely not for the Country

Yesterday the Treasurer announced that the baby bonus would be reduced by $2,000 for second and subsequent children with the view to save $461 million over four years. While much media and political discussion has focused on the distributional implications of this reduction, the important implications for fertility and population have largely been overlooked. Following [...]
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Why the carbon-tax ‘python’ won’t squeeze the economy

Some critics of carbon pricing have pointed out that, over time, the carbon price will increase to a much higher level and devastate the economy. Indeed, the image of a python squeezing the life out of the economy has been painted to describe this. However, this view is based on a misunderstanding of how carbon [...]
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Boom and bust: the parlous health of our state finances

We are most of the way through a very long budget season this year, beginning with Victorian Treasurer Kim Wells in May and is not due to end till Queensland Treasurer Tim Nicholls delivers his first budget on September 12. Late on Friday night, Victorian Premier Ted Baillieu released details of the deep public sector [...]
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Measuring hidden unemployment: Part 2

This post is a follow up to another article by Dr De Silva. Read the previous post here. Recently the ABS released the latest unemployment statistics. These figures were remarkably good given the mediocre global economic environment. Notably, the release received little media attention and the attention it did receive was fairly critical. The main [...]
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Hollande and Merkel: breaking up is hard to do

Europe is in economic dire straits and the two most powerful economies on the continent are, at least on paper, led by individuals with considerable differences. The previous French President Nicolas Sarkozy was not merely regarded as a man of austerity, but a man who Chancellor Angela Merkel could do business with. The Sarkozy-Merkel imprint [...]
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Elections in Europe an assault on the austerity doctrine

The answer, even though they see over and over again that austerity leads to collapse of the economy, the answer over and over [from politicians] is more austerity. — Joseph Stiglitz, Asian Financial Forum, January 17, 2012 It has been a busy weekend. France finds itself with a new president, its first socialist leader since [...]
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Interest rates: A case for no change

Recently, the RBA has been called on to reduce the official cash rate at their next board meeting. These calls are being made by representatives of industries that are integral to Australia’s economic wellbeing; see for example the comments made by Solomon Lew and the Housing Industry Association. While I understand and appreciate the concerns [...]
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Why we should be wary of ratings agencies

For decades, credit ratings agencies were largely ignored by the masses, but in recent months they have continued to hit the headlines again and again. The big three (Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s and Fitch) have relentlessly embarked on an orgy of downgrading sovereign debt, despite calls for them to reign in their negative ratings. In [...]
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